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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.580 |
| $2.32 |
| Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | sell | 32.41 | $0.012 | $0.39 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | sell | 324.84 | $0.008 | $2.6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.011 | $1.62 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.350 | $1.67 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 324.84 | $0.126 | $40.91 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | sell | 387.53 | $0.106 | $40.91 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 287.67 | $0.009 | $2.56 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.563 | $2.57 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 32.42 | $0.240 | $7.78 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.962 | $2.23 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.880 | $2.16 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.690 | $1.06 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.810 | $1.19 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.814 | $1.13 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 119.14 | $0.070 | $8.34 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.37 | $0.890 | $8.34 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 157.14 | $0.070 | $11 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 28.94 | $0.380 | $11 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 111.25 | $0.080 | $8.9 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | buy | 28.95 | $0.380 | $11 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.919 | $4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on July 26?Down | buy | 58 | $0.020 | $1.16 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.820 | $1.15 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.800 | $7.5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on July 26?Down | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 25?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.041 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.989 | $2.2 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.958 | $2.28 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.963 | $1.37 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.900 | $2.85 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jul 22, 2025 |