
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 76.5% on 27 Apr 2025 and the low 0.5% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 64% on 1 Jul 2025. $172.95K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 107 points · 17 Apr 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 38.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OneFinalStand9917 | Yes | 2.79K |
| ttt357 | Yes | 1.28K |
| bob3698 | Yes | 864.72 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on whether Trump will reduce tariffs on Canada by a specified date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-canada-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 861.97 |
| kenkan88 | Yes | 295.61 |
| lissartter | Yes | 253.09 |
| Esadiablo | Yes | 148.35 |
| gamblingexprt | No | 100 |
| Sybau13 | Yes | 78.36 |
| Sprstnk17 | Yes | 66.67 |