Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Yes | buy | 194.33 | $0.450 | $87.45 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 175.5 |
| $0.530 |
| $93.02 |
| Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.530 | $108.65 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.340 | $170 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.337 | $168.36 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 183 | $0.600 | $109.8 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.570 | $79.8 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.240 | $240 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 907 | $0.550 | $498.85 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 242 | $0.540 | $130.68 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia / Ukraine" 5+ times during his NATO speech?Yes | buy | 633.24 | $0.730 | $462.27 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.19 | $0.370 | $15.98 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.380 | $190 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.082 | $899.12 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.57K | $0.037 | $764.51 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 2.54K | $0.481 | $1.22K | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.131 | $79.99 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 231.46 | $0.340 | $78.7 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 51.09 | $0.192 | $9.81 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?Yes | sell | 434.99 | $0.105 | $45.67 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?Yes | sell | 348.2 | $0.150 | $52.23 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 69.18 | $0.730 | $50.5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.626 | $692.75 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 25.31K | $0.200 | $5.05K | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 219 | $0.620 | $135.78 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.189 | $241.16 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Yes | sell | 15.55 | $0.080 | $1.24 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Yes | sell | 186.83 | $0.150 | $28.02 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 3.47K | $0.003 | $10.42 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.030 | $15 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?Yes | sell | 336.72 | $0.001 | $0.36 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.049 | $4.41 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?Yes | sell | 360 | $0.050 | $18 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?Yes | sell | 23.45 | $0.033 | $0.77 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | buy | 476 | $0.570 | $271.32 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.600 | $662.23 | May 23, 2025 |
 Circle IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.471 | $48.04 | May 22, 2025 |
| Circle IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 936.2 | $0.482 | $451.04 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by May 31?Yes | sell | 199.63 | $0.060 | $11.98 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 4.88K | $0.590 | $2.88K | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.560 | $2.8K | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?No | sell | 306.49 | $0.179 | $54.86 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | sell | 4.3K | $0.621 | $2.67K | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?No | buy | 864 | $0.696 | $601.32 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 416.31 | $0.380 | $158.2 | May 18, 2025 |