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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 14.32K | $0.861 | $13.85K | +$1.52K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 911 | $0.920 | $838.12 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 16.15K |
| $0.799 |
| $13.81K |
| +$895.47 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 14.1K | $0.943 | $13.25K | -$40.86 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12.97K | $0.975 | $12.76K | +$116.62 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 23.69K | $0.565 | $11.25K | -$2.13K |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.81K | $0.875 | $10.32K | +$860.83 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 10.35K | $0.936 | $9.57K | -$116.13 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 10.56K | $0.858 | $9.41K | +$349.54 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.39K | $0.921 | $8.78K | +$130.99 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 8.92K | $0.940 | $8.43K | +$44.6 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 6.85K | $0.961 | $6.81K | +$221.51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 5.46K | $0.930 | $5.36K | +$284.35 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 6.06K | $0.825 | $5.25K | +$241.03 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 4.69K | $0.940 | $4.43K | +$23.53 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.857 | $3.94K | +$80.84 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 3.83K | $0.912 | $3.55K | +$48.4 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 4.61K | $0.815 | $3.38K | -$368.82 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 3.45K | $0.910 | $3.14K | $0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.73K | $0.709 | $2.71K | +$775.27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.535 | $2.42K | +$810 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | No | 2.26K | $0.898 | $2.12K | +$84.3 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.01K | $0.980 | $2K | +$26.2 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.65K | $0.932 | $1.55K | +$7.94 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.949 | $1.5K | +$75.25 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.73K | $0.819 | $1.38K | -$33.17 |
| buy |
| 146 |
| $0.810 |
| $118.26 |
| 19h ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 383.04 | $0.500 | $191.52 | 19h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.870 | $2.82K | 19h ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.940 | $1.18K | 19h ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 4.14K | $0.890 | $3.68K | 19h ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | 19h ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 3.43K | $0.940 | $3.22K | 1d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.22K | $0.962 | $5.98K | 1d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 527.46 | $0.910 | $479.99 | 3d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 151 | $0.930 | $140.43 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.910 | $1.82K | 3d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.860 | $913 | 4d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28K | $0.940 | $1.21K | 4d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.940 | $3.97K | 4d ago |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 10.01K | $0.940 | $9.41K | 4d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.23K | $0.964 | $6.97K | 4d ago |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 238.96 | $0.961 | $229.64 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 2.71K | $0.920 | $2.49K | 4d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.986 | $34.51 | 7d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.120 | $130.48 | 7d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.980 | $1.35K | 8d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.940 | $2.12K | 8d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 256.66 | $0.880 | $225.86 | 8d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | 10d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.980 | $2.41K | 10d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 6.67K | $0.940 | $6.27K | 10d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No | sell | 204 | $0.930 | $189.72 | 10d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 6.16K | $0.998 | $6.15K | 10d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.930 | $46.49 | 10d ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?No | sell | 0.74 | $0.920 | $0.68 | 13d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 0.57 | $0.940 | $0.54 | 13d ago |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.860 | $0.2 | 13d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.940 | $0.32 | 13d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.860 | $2.51K | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 662.87 | $0.962 | $637.68 | 14d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No | buy | 942.12 | $0.910 | $857.33 | 14d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 4.39K | $0.996 | $4.38K | 14d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.72K | $0.920 | $2.5K | 14d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.02K | $0.930 | $1.88K | 14d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 915.98 | $0.978 | $895.83 | 14d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.995 | $4.98K | 15d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 385.38 | $0.850 | $327.57 | 15d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 446.91 | $0.930 | $415.63 | 15d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 5.11K | $0.900 | $4.6K | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 9.66K | $0.997 | $9.63K | 15d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 313.97 | $0.997 | $313.03 | 15d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 138 | $0.940 | $129.72 | 15d ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?No | buy | 23.5 | $0.940 | $22.09 | 17d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.930 | $2.21K | 17d ago |