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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 206.34 | $0.371 | $29.92 | -$46.62 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 134.52 | $0.230 | $30.94 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 107.14 |
| $0.105 |
| $4.12 |
| -$7.12 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 34 | $0.180 | $2.6 | -$3.52 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 10.11 | $0.830 | $2.48 | -$5.91 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 53.4 | $0.198 | $2.06 | -$8.52 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39.64 | $0.136 | $1.49 | -$3.89 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 10.51 | $0.470 | $1.42 | -$3.52 |
| buy |
| 18.85 |
| $0.774 |
| $14.59 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.99 | $0.220 | $7.7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.281 | $9.85 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 43.04 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.97 | $0.608 | $20.05 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 43.04 | $0.494 | $21.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.98 | $0.440 | $14.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 28.83 | $0.240 | $6.92 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | sell | 15.79 | $0.998 | $15.75 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | sell | 56.04 | $0.125 | $7.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.587 | $9.28 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 56.05 | $0.205 | $11.49 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Joey Chestnut Eat 70 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | sell | 51.02 | $0.010 | $0.51 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Joey Chestnut Eat 76 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | sell | 39.75 | $0.010 | $0.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Joey Chestnut Eat 65 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | buy | 7.59 | $0.700 | $5.31 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Joey Chestnut Eat 70 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | buy | 26.3 | $0.400 | $10.52 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Joey Chestnut Eat 76 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | buy | 39.75 | $0.120 | $4.77 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Joey Chestnut Eat 65 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | buy | 10.72 | $0.710 | $7.61 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Joey Chestnut Eat 70 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Yes | buy | 24.73 | $0.400 | $9.89 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No | buy | 303.33 | $0.033 | $10.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.8 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.025 | $0.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.470 | $4.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.41K | $0.001 | $5.41 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.61K | $0.003 | $10.82 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | sell | 24.35 | $0.050 | $1.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 24.35 | $0.650 | $15.83 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 38.88 | $0.090 | $3.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 58.07 | $0.291 | $16.88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 383.52 | $0.027 | $10.17 | May 20, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.64 | $0.640 | $22.81 | May 14, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.17 | $0.630 | $22.79 | May 13, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 77.98 | $0.590 | $46.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.270 | $10.5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?Yes | buy | 24.96 | $0.500 | $12.48 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 153.87 | $0.160 | $24.62 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?Yes | buy | 132.06 | $0.040 | $5.28 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.830 | $8.39 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.178 | $9.89 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 14?Yes | buy | 18.93 | $0.260 | $4.92 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?Yes | buy | 7.34 | $0.781 | $5.73 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 43.83 | $0.005 | $0.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes | sell | 11.8 | $0.009 | $0.11 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Construction" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes | sell | 52.94 | $0.002 | $0.11 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.03 | $0.620 | $5.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.630 | $4.98 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.700 | $4.56 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.510 | $4.43 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Yes | sell | 19.34 | $0.188 | $3.64 | Apr 2, 2026 |