Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72.7%. Yes opened at 37% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 72.7% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 7% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 66 points up, to 72.7% on 25 Jul 2026. $33.2K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 37.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 72.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nostdam | No | 299.7 |
| BerkshireHahaway | No | 200 |
| doganjr | No | 145 |
| Jameslyy | No | 119.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-will-lebron-james-sign-by-20260709223851526
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| EdgePunta | No | 91 |
| PPMT | No | 90 |
| churna | No | 60 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 35.17 |
| Jumpy-Prayer | No | 20.64 |
