Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 177 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 22 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 49.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $100.65K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 10:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 22 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 21.5% |
| 22 May 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hoooooooooold | No | 1.24K |
| ChetterHummin | No | 1K |
| niglette | No | 928.62 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
5 more markets, none above 10.0%.
| norealtime | No | 229.99 |
| pyoi | No | 226.97 |
| MartinStraub | Yes | 153.85 |
| Fain | No | 149.11 |
| Zarshka | No | 100 |
| acc32 | No | 99.75 |
| S888 | No | 91.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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