Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 7 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
Across the 270 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 11% on 3 Jan 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.5%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 27% on 6 Jan 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$63.14K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.51K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is gothmommy69 with 7K shares; the largest No position is SongXiaoFeng with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 81.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 270 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 22.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gothmommy69 | Yes | 7.04K |
| SongXiaoFeng | No | 2.33K |
| bigbirdluca | Yes | 1.64K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/base-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| MaxEnt |
| No |
| 1.63K |
| gamblito | No | 1.02K |
| simmioi | No | 978.12 |
| balthazar | No | 820.4 |
| tradervader | No | 548.78 |
| uhoh1 | Yes | 500 |
| singaporesling | No | 497.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
