Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, down 6.5 points from 43% when the market opened on 11 Jun 2026.
Across the 139 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 22 Jun 2026 and the lowest 34% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 35%; a month before, 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 37.5% on 19 Jun 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$1.11K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.29K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 42 trades, $171.22 bought Yes and $283.54 bought No.
The largest Yes position is SuperTests with 97 shares; the largest No position is daweishashax with 105.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 43.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| daweishashax | No | 105 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 97.04 |
| PBH | No | 79.37 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/base-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 63.61 |
| dima23000 | No | 46.15 |
| balthazar | Yes | 45.61 |
| afkpnlucl | No | 40.63 |
| Wordsmith | Yes | 31.37 |
| 48moneymaker | No | 30 |
| Dapsy | Yes | 20.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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