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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 46.31 | $0.182 | $42.95 | +$34.52 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.901 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 42.71 |
| $0.820 |
| $41.32 |
| +$6.32 |
 EU debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 24.28 | $0.824 | $16.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.61 | $0.806 | $16.1 | +$1.1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 23.92 | $0.418 | $12.02 | +$2.02 |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | No | 11.1 | $0.901 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.930 | $9.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 60.38 | $0.248 | $8.66 | -$6.34 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | No | 10 | $0.590 | $5.05 | -$0.85 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 9.62 | $0.520 | $4.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.37 | $0.559 | $2.87 | -$0.13 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 39.23 | $0.255 | $2.26 | -$7.74 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 3.07 | $0.651 | $0.45 | -$1.55 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $0.34 | -$4.66 |
| buy |
| 7.25 |
| $0.690 |
| $5 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 16.57 | $0.996 | $16.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.792 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.660 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.926 | $9.26 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.934 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.43 | $0.405 | $6.25 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 20.58 | $0.328 | $6.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| EU debt downgrade before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 45.29 | $0.883 | $40 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 16.57 | $0.905 | $15 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.740 | $2.46 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | sell | 24.99 | $0.530 | $13.24 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.651 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.559 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.349 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | sell | 24.52 | $0.700 | $17.16 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.769 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 23.92 | $0.418 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.809 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.530 | $8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.312 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.545 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |