Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 16 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2025 to 25 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 4 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 78% on 28 Feb 2026.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 26, 6:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 16 Nov 2025 – 25 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 38.0% |
| 25 Mar 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 65.52K |
| ACara | No | 1.02K |
| products | No | 453.49 |
The 2026 Nice municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Nice, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-nice-mayoral-election
| No |
| 307.34 |
| qianbeicelue | No | 300 |
| rated | No | 236.55 |
| xTaZe | Yes | 221.09 |
| Peaurouge | No | 200 |
| 5atka | No | 200 |
| 88mnm88 | No | 109.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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