Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
DoesPeterThielKnowAboutThis has made $21.59K on Polymarket, #7,493 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
No chart history is available for this wallet yet.
The Sources tab shows which records are available.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 371.26 | $0.076 | $317.06 | +$288.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 17:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 20:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 20:22 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 1,629 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.62K across 64 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 669.98 |
| $0.271 |
| $278.04 |
| +$96.55 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 759.02 | $0.328 | $277.04 | +$28.08 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 523.54 | $0.185 | $248.68 | +$151.8 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 765.53 | $0.266 | $176.07 | -$27.43 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 1.07K | $0.181 | $155.24 | -$38.78 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 209.99 | $0.373 | $132.61 | +$54.28 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 279.97 | $0.409 | $74.75 | -$39.9 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 600 | $0.037 | $70.8 | +$48.6 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 140 | $0.180 | $62.3 | +$37.1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 110 | $0.439 | $62.15 | +$13.85 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 90 | $0.490 | $52.65 | +$8.55 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 60 | $0.334 | $45.54 | +$25.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.680 | $44.4 | +$3.6 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 60 | $0.802 | $41.4 | -$6.72 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 60 | $0.628 | $40.53 | +$2.85 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.130 | $35.25 | +$15.75 |
 Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 110 | $0.490 | $34.1 | -$19.8 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.196 | $31.45 | +$11.85 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 60 | $0.600 | $29.1 | -$6.9 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.041 | $28.75 | +$8.25 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.116 | $27.3 | -$94.1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.420 | $25.2 | $0 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 196.63 | $0.310 | $24.68 | -$36.28 |
 Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 127.2 | $0.030 | $23.47 | +$19.65 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
