Latest trade
Apr 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 1:08 AM UTC.
Analytics
kebekebs is down $720.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 1:08 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 184 trades covered 90 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Mar 26, 2026 UTC to Apr 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 44.44 | $0.180 | $1.69 | -$6.31 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.61 | $0.280 | $5.77 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 22:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 01:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
184 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 01:08 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-12 13:36 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $157.97 and losing ones cost $677.97 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $91.27 on “Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $206.66 on “US forces enter Iran by March 31?” (Yes).
It first traded on 26 Mar 2026 and most recently on 8 Apr 2026, 190 days ago. It has traded 90 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.58 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 10.53 |
| $0.195 |
| $0.68 |
| -$1.37 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | buy | 70.59 | $0.071 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.357 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?Yes | sell | 30.87 | $0.835 | $25.78 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.385 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | buy | 103.81 | $0.279 | $29 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | sell | 58.79 | $0.059 | $3.47 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | sell | 201.88 | $0.080 | $16.06 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.292 | $5.73 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes | sell | 29.17 | $0.999 | $29.14 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | buy | 75.71 | $0.132 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.441 | $21 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Canadiens vs. RangersCanadiens | buy | 10.18 | $0.570 | $5.8 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 194.09 | $0.006 | $1.17 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 663.98 | $0.007 | $4.65 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.180 | $3.97 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Congress" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 24.5 | $0.210 | $5.15 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.340 | $4.5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 204.92 | $0.048 | $9.8 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.39 | $0.250 | $9.85 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.552 | $2.99 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.114 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 8.49 | $0.558 | $4.74 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes | buy | 88.22 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.48 | $0.390 | $0.97 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.730 | $1.46 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 6.44 | $0.152 | $0.98 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.19 | $0.440 | $0.96 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | sell | 6.75 | $0.920 | $6.21 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 6.54 | $0.150 | $0.98 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 2.76 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.