Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 40% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 4 May 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 33.5% on 27 Mar 2026. $40.02K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 1:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 4 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
| 4 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Atlas 0172 | Yes | 1.57K |
| Specific-Antecedent | Yes | 638.36 |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 580.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control. Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-by
| Yes |
| 215.24 |
| GrandpaRick | Yes | 200 |
| elohei | Yes | 172.87 |
| taotaowang | Yes | 140 |
| Imperfect-Plan | Yes | 113.75 |
| AleksisT | Yes | 100 |
| scd77 | Yes | 90.91 |
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