Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $1.72 | -$3.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | May 30, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.74 |
| -$1.76 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.520 | $0.72 | -$4.28 |
| buy |
| 7.35 |
| $0.680 |
| $5 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.150 | $2.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 69.31 | $0.110 | $7.62 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 15.33 | $0.196 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.410 | $2.87 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 29, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.708 | $5 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above in April?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.549 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.640 | $8 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Japan next?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.279 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Israel next?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Russia before May?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in $TRUMP before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 50-74 executive orders in his first week?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jan 19, 2025 |