Analytics
DancewithRisk has made $31.59K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 5.13K | $0.396 | $3.54K | +$1.51K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 03:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 03:31 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:42 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $34.89K and losing ones cost $15.03K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.67K on “Fed rate hike in 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.48K on “Ethereum all time high before 2026?” (No).
It has traded 350 markets. Its open positions are worth $30.72K across 53 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8.05K |
| $0.269 |
| $2.37K |
| +$208.49 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 3.72K | $0.542 | $2.37K | +$353.6 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 10.07K | $0.185 | $2.02K | +$164.53 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.81K | $0.797 | $1.99K | -$253.76 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 7.52K | $0.350 | $1.92K | -$713.39 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.15K | $0.425 | $1.56K | -$205.21 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | Yes | 11.2K | $0.163 | $1.46K | -$370.6 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? | Yes | 7.05K | $0.171 | $1.35K | +$142.66 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 1.75K | $0.762 | $1.34K | +$3.48 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 1.54K | $0.707 | $1.12K | +$33.89 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? | Yes | 5.35K | $0.148 | $939.27 | +$144.57 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.378 | $910.72 | -$32.67 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 2.01K | $0.618 | $844.33 | -$398.93 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? | No | 794.42 | $0.920 | $774.56 | +$43.69 |
 Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 933.49 | $0.730 | $613.31 | -$68.2 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 611.7 | $0.890 | $556.34 | +$12.17 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.68K | $0.091 | $537.77 | +$113.25 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | Yes | 645.66 | $0.789 | $469.07 | -$40.55 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 1.49K | $0.387 | $440.02 | -$137.42 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 728.62 | $0.579 | $433.53 | +$11.75 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 1.58K | $0.236 | $417.72 | +$44.14 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | No | 610.66 | $0.515 | $415.25 | +$100.75 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 1.27K | $0.242 | $347.46 | +$40.37 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Yes | 391.46 | $0.651 | $256.41 | +$1.62 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
