Latest trade
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:34 AM UTC.
Analytics
Understated-Average is down $107.32 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:34 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Apr 12, 2026 UTC to Jul 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.96 | $0.587 | $21.83 | -$5.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-07 08:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 10:34 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-07 08:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $395.97 and losing ones cost $503.55 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $57.93 on “Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $30.55 on “Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Jul 2026. It has traded 831 markets. Its open positions are worth $56.8 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 89.21 |
| $0.404 |
| $15.61 |
| -$20.39 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 24.65 | $0.284 | $4.81 | -$2.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43.19 | $0.301 | $3.24 | -$9.76 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 49.48 | $0.485 | $2.72 | -$21.28 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 17.53 | $0.456 | $2.02 | -$5.98 |
 Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | Yes | 10.05 | $0.199 | $1.71 | -$0.29 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.660 | $0.88 | -$3.12 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $0.85 | -$4.15 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.72 | $0.206 | $0.51 | -$1.49 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 9.38 | $0.320 | $0.41 | -$2.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 229.32 | $0.022 | $0.34 | -$4.66 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.25 | -$1.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.23 | $0.897 | $0.14 | -$1.86 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.710 | $0.07 | -$1.93 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $0 | -$3 |
| buy |
| 214.4 |
| $0.005 |
| $1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.44 | $0.933 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 11.85 | $0.422 | $5 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.814 | $7 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 99.67 | $0.602 | $60 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 29.71 | $0.596 | $17.71 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Overwatch: Quasar Esports vs The Gatos Guapos (BO3) - OCS Pacific Stage 1 Group StageThe Gatos Guapos | buy | 20.95 | $0.952 | $19.94 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will East Bengal FC win on 2026-04-16?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-04-16?Yes | buy | 32.53 | $0.600 | $19.52 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva | buy | 21.86 | $0.910 | $19.89 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?Yes | buy | 31.04 | $0.630 | $19.56 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?Yes | buy | 34.18 | $0.570 | $19.48 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Zhejiang Golden BullsZhejiang Golden Bulls | buy | 23.85 | $0.830 | $19.8 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming | buy | 24.7 | $0.800 | $19.76 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports | buy | 20.99 | $0.950 | $19.94 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.88 | $0.239 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.92 | $0.358 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBetBoom Team | buy | 11.16 | $0.890 | $9.93 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team | buy | 10.49 | $0.950 | $9.97 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-04-13?Yes | buy | 29.26 | $0.670 | $19.6 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-04-13?Yes | buy | 35.36 | $0.550 | $19.46 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.915 | $9.95 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Nicolas KickerJoao Lucas Da Silva | buy | 10.93 | $0.910 | $9.95 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano NapolitanoJames Duckworth | buy | 11.53 | $0.860 | $9.92 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InHashiras | buy | 11.15 | $0.891 | $9.93 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonVivo Keyd Stars | buy | 10.29 | $0.970 | $9.98 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LOS (BO3) - South America League Kickoff PlayoffsNinjas in Pyjamas | buy | 10.14 | $0.985 | $9.99 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will SK Brann win on 2026-04-12?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.