Analytics
Understated-Average is down $107.32 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.96 | $0.587 | $21.37 | -$5.63 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-07 08:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 11:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 11:51 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-07 08:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $395.97 and losing ones cost $503.55 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $57.93 on “Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $30.55 on “Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?” (No).
It has traded 831 markets. Its open positions are worth $55.82 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 89.21 |
| $0.404 |
| $15.61 |
| -$20.39 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 24.65 | $0.284 | $4.81 | -$2.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43.19 | $0.301 | $3.24 | -$9.76 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 49.48 | $0.485 | $2.72 | -$21.28 |
 Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | Yes | 10.05 | $0.199 | $1.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 17.53 | $0.456 | $1.49 | -$6.51 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.660 | $0.88 | -$3.12 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $0.85 | -$4.15 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.72 | $0.206 | $0.51 | -$1.49 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 9.38 | $0.320 | $0.41 | -$2.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 229.32 | $0.022 | $0.34 | -$4.66 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.25 | -$1.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.23 | $0.897 | $0.14 | -$1.86 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.710 | $0.07 | -$1.93 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $0 | -$3 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 2m ago. Watch only — not advice.
