Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
radeksaturka is down $1.03K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:26 AM UTC.
$9.72 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 12.0% were buys. They run from Oct 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.760 | $40 | +$2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.183 | $8.6 | 1d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
30 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 02:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 02:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 06:02 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $182.87 and losing ones cost $588.71 across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23.96 on “Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?” (No); the largest loss, $102.86 on “Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 229 markets. Its open positions are worth $203.53 across 30 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 48 |
| $0.496 |
| $34.32 |
| +$10.52 |
 Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 40 | $0.860 | $29.8 | -$4.6 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 100 | $0.354 | $25.7 | -$9.75 |
 Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October? | Yes | 58 | $0.680 | $10.73 | -$28.71 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.230 | $9.5 | -$13.5 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | Yes | 63 | $0.334 | $8.6 | -$12.44 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.200 | $5.85 | -$14.15 |
 Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? | No | 100 | $0.123 | $4.1 | -$8.2 |
 Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.153 | $4.08 | -$3.58 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.220 | $4.05 | -$17.95 |
 Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026? | No | 100 | $0.120 | $3.55 | -$8.45 |
 Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | No | 100 | $0.070 | $3.5 | -$3.5 |
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.195 | $3.5 | -$16 |
 Will Getafe finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | Yes | 100 | $0.269 | $3.35 | -$23.55 |
 Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $446,000 on December 31? | Yes | 95.86 | $0.140 | $2.44 | -$10.98 |
 Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $1.55 | -$7.45 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.620 | $1.52 | +$0.05 |
 Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.329 | $1.45 | -$15 |
 Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $1.45 | -$8.55 |
 Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.069 | $0.88 | -$2.58 |
 Saturn FDV above $600M one day after launch | No | 0.9 | $0.939 | $0.83 | -$0.02 |
 Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? | No | 50 | $0.090 | $0.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October? | Yes | 100 | $0.340 | $0.55 | -$33.45 |
 Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.140 | $0.46 | -$2.34 |
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?No| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.367 |
| $18.35 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes | sell | 6.39 | $0.280 | $1.79 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.280 | $2.68 | 3d ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.280 | $0.3 | 3d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | 3d ago |
| Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | 4d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.326 | $9.78 | 5d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.334 | $6.68 | 5d ago |
 Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 43.68 | $0.896 | $39.14 | 6d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.896 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.896 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.896 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.620 | $28.52 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.670 | $2.68 | 6d ago |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 6d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.831 | $0.52 | 6d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.831 | $4.65 | 6d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.831 | $2.47 | 6d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.831 | $4.15 | 6d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.831 | $4.15 | 6d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | sell | 80.01 | $0.870 | $69.61 | 6d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.870 | $17.39 | 6d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.950 | $31.35 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.950 | $112.1 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.896 | $0.84 | 7d ago |
 Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?Yes | sell | 29.03 | $0.390 | $11.32 | 7d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.831 | $6.65 | 7d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?No | sell | 12.8 | $0.831 | $10.64 | 7d ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 7d ago |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 79.52 | $0.140 | $11.13 | 7d ago |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.48 | $0.140 | $2.87 | 7d ago |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.193 | $9.65 | 7d ago |
| Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes | sell | 48.32 | $0.940 | $45.42 | 7d ago |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 7.82 | $0.819 | $6.4 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 20 | $0.819 | $16.38 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.819 | $9.87 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.819 | $6.65 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?Yes | sell | 25.65 | $0.670 | $17.19 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.670 | $1.1 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?Yes | sell | 1.67 | $0.670 | $1.12 | 7d ago |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | 7d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 7d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 7d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $158 in October?Yes | sell | 32.33 | $0.540 | $17.46 | 7d ago |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $158 in October?Yes | sell | 17.67 | $0.540 | $9.54 | 7d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.