Analytics
low-prob-test-1-kes is down $424.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 31 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 104.47 | $0.370 | $60.59 | +$21.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 04:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 06:00 UTC
polymarket positions
32 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 04:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $433.45 and losing ones cost $148.23 across 31 settled positions. 48.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $83.36 on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential…” (Yes); the largest loss, $42.52 on “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?” (No).
It has traded 130 markets. Its open positions are worth $927.94 across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 240.23 |
| $0.210 |
| $60.06 |
| +$9.61 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 258.04 | $0.171 | $59.22 | +$15.1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 183.58 | $0.210 | $43.14 | +$4.59 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 138.6 | $0.280 | $39.5 | +$0.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 106.94 | $0.360 | $39.03 | +$0.53 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 263.63 | $0.167 | $38.23 | -$5.8 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 142.01 | $0.270 | $37.63 | -$0.71 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 113.76 | $0.335 | $34.81 | -$3.3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 100.72 | $0.380 | $33.74 | -$4.53 |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 112.08 | $0.340 | $31.94 | -$6.16 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 124.48 | $0.290 | $30.5 | -$5.6 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 70.47 | $0.176 | $26.5 | +$14.09 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 196.11 | $0.190 | $26.47 | -$10.79 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 102.94 | $0.340 | $26.25 | -$8.75 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 103.77 | $0.160 | $25.42 | +$8.82 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.300 | $22.92 | -$2.08 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 116.7 | $0.310 | $21.59 | -$14.59 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 143.12 | $0.270 | $20.75 | -$17.89 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.77 | $0.310 | $19.35 | -$10.65 |
 Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 272.73 | $0.110 | $19.09 | -$10.91 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 143.44 | $0.160 | $18.65 | -$4.27 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 128.32 | $0.300 | $16.68 | -$21.81 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.160 | $15.71 | +$4.29 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 62.96 | $0.160 | $14.48 | +$4.41 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
