Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:36 PM UTC.
Analytics
Thin-Precedent is down $22.35K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 35 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:36 PM UTC.
$27.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Nov 1, 2024 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 125 | $0.800 | $99.63 | -$0.38 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | 6d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 21:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 22:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 22:36 UTC
polymarket positions
36 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 21:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $318.86 and losing ones cost $9.53K across 35 settled positions. 82.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $80 on “Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.29K on “Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 65 markets. Its open positions are worth $417.88 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 98.04 |
| $0.510 |
| $64.22 |
| +$14.22 |
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 56.18 | $0.890 | $55.03 | +$5.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 48.19 | $0.830 | $44.34 | +$4.34 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 62.5 | $0.400 | $40.94 | +$15.94 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 29.41 | $0.850 | $28.41 | +$3.41 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 25.81 | $0.930 | $25.54 | +$1.54 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 26.43 | $0.946 | $24.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 40.98 | $0.610 | $14.14 | -$10.86 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
| buy |
| 110.37 |
| $0.897 |
| $98.97 |
| Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?Yes | buy | 54.76 | $0.900 | $49.28 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 58.11 | $0.847 | $49.24 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 62.69 | $0.780 | $48.9 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 65.1 | $0.749 | $48.74 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be 80°F or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 110.64 | $0.894 | $98.94 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.750 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.19 | $0.901 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?Yes | buy | 21.57 | $0.927 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.750 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Monte | buy | 23.27 | $0.860 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.930 | $24 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.850 | $25 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.830 | $25 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?No | buy | 82.47 | $0.424 | $35 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 41.18 | $0.850 | $35 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 25.72 | $0.972 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 50.66 | $0.987 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 100.4 | $0.996 | $100 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 16?Yes | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 26.43 | $0.946 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes | buy | 102.97 | $0.486 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.700 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.400 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 40.98 | $0.610 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 25.99 | $0.962 | $25 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Diana ShnaiderJovic | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 52.94 | $0.945 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 332.08 | $0.360 | $119.55 | Nov 1, 2024 UTC |
 Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.048 | $200 | Nov 1, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.