Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 57% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 211 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 3% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 27% on 10 Jun 2026. $42.3K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 1:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 211 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 57.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Well-Documented-Makeup | Yes | 1.85K |
| CiderApple | No | 1.36K |
| marki01 | Yes | 707.13 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30
| lucky-claw | Yes | 455.44 |
| horatio | Yes | 400 |
| yen4u | Yes | 245 |
| Newshound | Yes | 128.21 |
| hephaistus | Yes | 90 |
| HDZHOU | Yes | 77.14 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 61.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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