Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 13 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 13 Feb 2026 to 9 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 37.4% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 100% on 9 Mar 2026.
110 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 5:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 13 Feb 2026 – 9 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | No | 2.22K |
| lucakoeppel | No | 1.53K |
| MoneyGelu | No | 888.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Four referendums will be held on 8 March 2026 (You can read more about that here: www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/popular-vote-on-8-march-2026/): - Issue 1: Cash initiative and counter-proposal - Issue 2: Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC) initiative - Issue 3: Climate fund initiative - Issue 4: Individual taxation This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held on 8 March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/switzerlands-march-referendum-what-will-pass
| No |
| 640 |
| Unusual-Industry | No | 548.87 |
| 0xasdqggg | No | 500 |
| Lisi999 | No | 500 |
| n1tro | No | 500 |
| Ks8888 | No | 500 |
| 0x01505asd0 | No | 499.99 |
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