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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 17.61K | $0.992 | $17.48K | +$12.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.470 | $235 | 8h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.4K |
| $0.469 |
| $7.85K |
| +$1.09K |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 7.01K | $0.963 | $6.8K | +$55.77 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.4K | $0.516 | $6.41K | -$1.02K |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.983 | $3.54K | +$22.86 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 3K | $0.994 | $2.98K | -$1.5 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.77K | $0.947 | $1.7K | +$19.16 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 1.07K | $0.955 | $1.04K | +$18.87 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08K | $0.715 | $776.1 | +$5.49 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.632 | $654 | -$104.8 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 500 | $0.955 | $490.5 | +$12.8 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.824 | $419.99 | +$8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.775 | $366 | +$56 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.994 | $299.85 | +$1.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 199.8 | $0.716 | $154.85 | +$11.83 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 1.6K | $0.113 | $144 | -$36.36 |
| sell |
| 314.37 |
| $0.250 |
| $78.59 |
| 8h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 206.95 | $0.860 | $177.98 | 22h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 221 | $0.720 | $159.12 | 22h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2K | $0.540 | $1.08K | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6K | $0.540 | $3.24K | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7K | $0.520 | $3.64K | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 871.4 | $0.965 | $841.26 | 1d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 130 | $0.994 | $129.22 | 2d ago |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?No | buy | 202.04 | $0.990 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?No | buy | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | 2d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 229.93 | $0.330 | $75.88 | 3d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.999 | $1.4K | 3d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.330 | $115.5 | 3d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 55.26 | $0.330 | $18.24 | 3d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.982 | $39.28 | 3d ago |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 127.52 | $0.720 | $91.81 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.700 | $16.8 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.647 | $259 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 333.99 | $0.639 | $213.55 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.06 | $0.790 | $19.01 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.955 | $477.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.955 | $477.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.955 | $954.97 | 4d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 270.78 | $0.961 | $260.15 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.6K | $0.998 | $4.6K | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.77 | $0.980 | $6.63 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 356.89 | $0.630 | $224.84 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 66.92 | $0.650 | $43.5 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 229.56 | $0.640 | $146.92 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.320 | $105.6 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 594.09 | $0.620 | $368.34 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 452.49 | $0.899 | $406.79 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.040 | $4.88 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 412.72 | $0.035 | $14.45 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 411.09 | $0.035 | $14.39 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 475.37 | $0.036 | $17.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 205.6 | $0.049 | $10.08 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 720.62 | $0.078 | $56.21 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 604.01 | $0.040 | $24.16 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 207.27 | $0.040 | $8.33 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 643.55 | $0.950 | $611.37 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 288.72 | $0.957 | $276.28 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.7 | $0.996 | $213.83 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.994 | $2.95K | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.992 | $1.81K | 6d ago |