Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 32 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 24.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 18.5% on 28 Sep 2026.
58-62% ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout”. 66-70% leads at 93.8%; 70%+ is at 5.9%.
$15.88K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Dim-Senior with 5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 31K. Ten wallets hold 84.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 2:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 37.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30.97K |
| Dim-Senior | Yes | 4.96K |
| balthazar | Yes | 3.97K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-turnout
| Shallow-Diadem |
| Yes |
| 3.35K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 3.15K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 2.26K |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 2.07K |
| donthackme | Yes | 1.57K |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 1.53K |
| Dramatic-Warlock | No | 1.21K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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