Analytics
Trading ended on 25 Oct 2026 with Yes at 5.9%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 27 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.5%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 28% on 28 Sep 2026.
70%+ ranks second of the 5 outcomes in “Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout”. 66-70% leads at 93.8%; <58% is at 0.1%.
$184K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Maki777 with 8.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 31K. Ten wallets hold 72.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 11:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30.97K |
| anoin123 | No | 10.16K |
| Maki777 | Yes | 8.32K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-turnout
| 101456 |
| No |
| 6.99K |
| Emerald Pioneer B836 | Yes | 6.82K |
| High-Level-Pole | Yes | 5.73K |
| Naughty-Misnomer | Yes | 5.6K |
| Adzivu | Yes | 2.79K |
| Wojtek | Yes | 2.59K |
| Lucky-Gray | Yes | 2.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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