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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.992 | $1.04 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.27 |
| $0.966 |
| $1.23 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.941 | $1.36 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.960 | $1.39 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.960 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.989 | $1.26 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.910 | $2.05 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.978 | $2.24 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.962 | $2.15 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.985 | $2.09 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.330 | $0.83 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.983 | $2.02 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.959 | $1.98 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.954 | $1.97 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.860 | $1.18 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.730 | $1.25 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria before October?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.910 | $2.08 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Syria before October?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.760 | $1.3 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.888 | $1.01 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Karen Bass recall election called before September?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.812 | $1.07 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.895 | $1.26 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.959 | $2.01 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Karen Bass recall election called before September?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.984 | $1.3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.969 | $1.3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.920 | $1.3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.972 | $2.61 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.916 | $2.53 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.600 | $1.66 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.930 | $1.95 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.868 | $2.4 | May 29, 2025 |
| DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.890 | $2.4 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.946 | $2 | May 29, 2025 |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | May 29, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 29, 2025 |
 Pacers vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | May 4, 2025 |