Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 19% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 30.5% on 15 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 15.5% on 16 Jun 2025. $179.87K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| valencia21 | Yes | 955.21 |
| f770 | Yes | 656.53 |
| Busy-Airspace | Yes | 638.54 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-invoke-the-insurrection-act-before-july
| pedrosanchez | Yes | 411.53 |
| RATBAG | Yes | 410.28 |
| AION5101 | Yes | 406.76 |
| jazzbox175 | Yes | 362.45 |
| Cilane | Yes | 300 |
| jcarvalhaismatos | Yes | 275.86 |
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