Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 24.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 182 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 28 Oct 2025, the highest close was 84.5% on 31 May 2025 and the lowest 15% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 69.5% on 6 May 2025. $249.36K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 182 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 28 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 40.0% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hellvortex | No | 2.12K |
| VdBellen | No | 2.07K |
| 500usdc | No | 2.03K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-becomes-a-for-profit-in-2025
| Rumpelstiltskin | No | 1.58K |
| timvvvht | No | 1.38K |
| Neon Meteor 30A5 | No | 1.26K |
| nomadlion | No | 968 |
| CH7000 | No | 722.46 |
| frostnovae | No | 679.96 |
| DickTurbin | No | 329.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
