Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 8 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 178 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 8 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 27.3% on 5 May 2025. $19.42K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 178 points, 8 Mar 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | 39.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 25 |
| tyl88 | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a recall election for Karen Bass is officially scheduled by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the City of Los Angles, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/karen-bass-recall-election-called-before-september
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Eldervoic | Yes | 17.24 |
| SirIgancio | Yes | 2.01 |
| aidentika | Yes | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | Yes | 0.01 |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
