Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10.8 | +$0.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 13.52 | $0.270 | $3.65 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 8.13 |
| $0.400 |
| $6.95 |
| +$3.7 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.08 | $0.780 | $5.89 | +$1.15 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.210 | $3.1 | -$6.9 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 13.52 | $0.270 | $2.7 | -$0.95 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6 | $0.210 | $0.63 | -$0.63 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.440 |
| $10 |
| 8d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.790 | $3.18 | 28d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 3.43 | $0.400 | $1.37 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.600 | $9.15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.790 | $2.74 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.790 | $10.12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 12.15 | $0.800 | $9.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.710 | $2.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.510 | $7.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.510 | $2.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.500 | $2.93 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.480 | $4.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.770 | $9.75 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.720 | $9.49 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.774 | $9.75 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" during remarks in Georgia?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.290 | $3.77 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 France vs. England: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 3.3 | $0.330 | $1.09 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.430 | $1.31 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.750 | $10.07 | Jul 18, 2026 |