Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 71 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 22 May 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 24 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%; a month before, 50.5%.
$38.77K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is feltslonda with 5 shares; the largest No position is GruGloG with 40. Ten wallets hold 75.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 22 May 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 52.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GruGloG | No | 40 |
| Opitacam | No | 40 |
| PeePeCossio | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for another pandemic's occurrence will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi
| No |
| 30 |
| MissDemeanour | No | 28.85 |
| kokosukosu | No | 20 |
| Patrick715 | No | 17.65 |
| imsoflattered | No | 10 |
| Vigilant-Boon | No | 10 |
| Costly-Shade | No | 7.68 |
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