Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41% on 21 Jul 2026 and the low 10% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 34.5% on 14 Jul 2026. $3.69K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 12:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 1 May 2026 – 30 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.6K |
| firegold | Yes | 244.99 |
| balthazar | Yes | 113.6 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 101.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| liuruijin | Yes | 100 |
| a5DYXQMGEE | Yes | 89 |
| smallreceipt | Yes | 84.01 |
| Lucky-Pork-Haven | Yes | 56.01 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
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