Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 11 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 8.5% on 10 Sep 2026. $83.85K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 11 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.01K |
| Mossy21 | Yes | 948.97 |
| Fred256 | Yes | 595.97 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993
| Yes |
| 587.03 |
| kirkoroff | Yes | 476 |
| Indigo Scout 261A | Yes | 467.38 |
| Breakable-Calf | Yes | 399.99 |
| bydlo | Yes | 291.73 |
| Coral Harbor 3073 | Yes | 279.09 |
| Complete-Grocery-Dissemination | Yes | 234.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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