Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | 1d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 87 |
| $0.969 |
| $84.3 |
| 9d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.954 | $49.63 | 16d ago |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.928 | $50.11 | 16d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 23d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 24d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.920 | $49.68 | 25d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.934 | $47.63 | 25d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 26d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.970 | $49.47 | 29d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.960 | $49.92 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.949 | $51.24 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.935 | $4.68 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.936 | $4.68 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.964 | $33.74 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 64 | $0.946 | $60.54 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?No | buy | 47 | $0.944 | $44.37 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.950 | $60.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 28 | $0.950 | $26.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?No | buy | 55 | $0.910 | $50.05 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?No | buy | 53 | $0.959 | $50.83 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.949 | $50.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.920 | $50.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No | buy | 52 | $0.978 | $50.86 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 52 | $0.974 | $50.65 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 52 | $0.970 | $50.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.998 | $52.89 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?No | buy | 52 | $0.940 | $48.88 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?No | buy | 51 | $0.980 | $49.98 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.951 | $50.4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.949 | $50.3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. KaneMbappe | buy | 17.76 | $0.930 | $16.52 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Vučić officially leave office by July 17?No | buy | 51.11 | $0.978 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 24.59 | $0.976 | $24 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.959 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | buy | 52.6 | $0.951 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.679 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.328 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 15.37 | $0.976 | $15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 53.13 | $0.941 | $50 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 102.88 | $0.972 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |