Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:23 PM UTC.
Analytics
nalvarado is down $23.85 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:23 PM UTC.
$10.39 median trade
Its latest 92 trades covered 77 markets; 89.1% were buys. They run from Jan 9, 2025 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 22.24 | $0.690 | $19.24 | +$3.89 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Colts (-7.5)Titans | buy | 16.29 | $0.560 | $9.12 | 3d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-08 13:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
92 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:23 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-08 13:16 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $25.93 and losing ones cost $76.26 across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16.29 on “Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general…” (No); the largest loss, $28.29 on “Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 84 markets. Its open positions are worth $30.82 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 14.95 |
| $0.730 |
| $11.58 |
| +$0.67 |
| buy |
| 3.52 |
| $0.999 |
| $3.52 |
| Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will BNB dip to $700 in January?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.999 | $10.83 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.999 | $4.71 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?No | buy | 18.69 | $0.999 | $18.67 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 21.3 | $0.997 | $21.24 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January?No | buy | 46.46 | $0.999 | $46.41 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.999 | $6.22 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.999 | $9.68 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No | buy | 27.46 | $0.999 | $27.43 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 58.95 | $0.997 | $58.77 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $150 in October?No | buy | 13.8 | $0.999 | $13.79 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 29.24 | $0.994 | $29.06 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 18.4 | $0.999 | $18.38 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 17.58 | $0.999 | $17.56 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.999 | $10.62 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.96 | $0.999 | $10.95 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.79 | $0.999 | $10.78 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.999 | $19.08 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 10.79 | $0.999 | $10.78 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.998 | $11.5 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.998 | $10.74 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No | buy | 14.68 | $0.996 | $14.62 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.997 | $11.91 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.996 | $13.15 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI buy X before July?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.999 | $12.25 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.998 | $14.48 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 5.03K | $0.998 | $5.02K | Jun 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 5.03K | $0.999 | $5.02K | Jun 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 18.65 | $0.998 | $18.61 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 17.88 | $0.993 | $17.75 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in April?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.997 | $11.75 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in April?No | buy | 12.43 | $0.996 | $12.38 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 11.39 | $0.999 | $11.38 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana hit $190 in March?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.999 | $9.75 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.997 | $7.9 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Netanyahu out before April?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.997 | $2.15 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.998 | $2.02 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.998 | $2.08 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana hit $210 in March?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.999 | $9.19 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
 Fauci extradited to Russia before April?No | buy | 9.75 | $0.999 | $9.74 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
 Solana all time high by March 31?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.999 | $4.31 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.999 | $9.98 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?No | buy | 9.45 | $0.999 | $9.44 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.996 | $2.33 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.996 | $2.61 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high by March 31?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.999 | $4.7 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.999 | $7.4 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
 Jay-Z in jail before April?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.998 | $8.56 | Mar 23, 2025 UTC |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.992 | $3.18 | Mar 22, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.