Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6% on 18 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 260 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 9.5% on 26 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Dec 2025. $206.95K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 18 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| QuantumRizzler67 | Yes | 1.74K |
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| Quantentunnel | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| fireponbabylon | Yes | 634.22 |
| Wobbly-Chrysalis | Yes | 526.32 |
| fooss1 | Yes | 505.03 |
| GGBCHUO | Yes | 333.33 |
| Anjun | Yes | 311.61 |
| 0xBhFDeeR21o | Yes | 268.25 |
| OkkO-659 | Yes | 233 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
