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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $21.44 | +$1.44 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 70.56 | $0.992 | $70 | Jun 10, 2026 |
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| No |
| 5.11 |
| $0.979 |
| $5.03 |
| +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 10.16 |
| $0.984 |
| $10 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 10?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 35.14 | $0.996 | $35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 19.73 | $0.997 | $19.67 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of February?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of February?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Apple dip to $172 in February?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Apple reach $336 in February?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?No | buy | 30.21 | $0.993 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Meta (META) close above $860 end of February?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 19.03 | $0.999 | $19.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 40.16 | $0.996 | $40 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 40.16 | $0.996 | $40 | Dec 16, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 40.28 | $0.993 | $40 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.69 | $0.996 | $142.12 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed rate cut by September meeting?Yes | buy | 40.9 | $0.978 | $40 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?Yes | buy | 15.2 | $0.987 | $15 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 41.04 | $0.999 | $41 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 35.04 | $0.999 | $35 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 35.04 | $0.999 | $35 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?Yes | buy | 15.11 | $0.993 | $15 | Nov 29, 2024 |
GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 173.41 | $0.994 | $172.37 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 173.41 | $0.995 | $172.54 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.987 | $11 | Nov 8, 2024 |
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.980 | $11 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.998 | $159.68 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 215.98 | $0.996 | $215.22 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 215.98 | $0.998 | $215.55 | Nov 8, 2024 |