Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 87% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 17 Jun 2026 and the low 74% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 91.5% on 19 Dec 2025. $304.61K traded over the market's life.
178 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 2:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 87.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LiterateDon | No | 78.2K |
| Francko420 | No | 5.95K |
| Automatic-Frog | No | 3.69K |
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-play-in-the-world-cup
| Doctor771 | No | 3.01K |
| Attentive-Chandelier | No | 2.5K |
| Fair-Presume-Borrower | No | 2.42K |
| ucuyl3 | No | 2.12K |
| tsihkodiives | No | 2.09K |
| cowcat | No | 1.41K |
| Movadla | No | 945.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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