Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 588.24 | $0.170 | $42.65 | -$57.35 |
 Remote IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 37.19 | $0.242 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.100 |
| $22 |
| +$2 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.340 | $17 | -$23 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Yes | 352.24 | $0.057 | $13.21 | -$6.79 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 134.8 | $0.148 | $10.11 | -$9.89 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 210 | $0.100 | $7.04 | -$13.97 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $6.1 | -$13.9 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.050 | $4.2 | -$15.8 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 42.22 | $0.474 | $4.01 | -$15.99 |
| buy |
| 102.06 |
| $0.245 |
| $25 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)Yes | buy | 57.05 | $0.701 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.53 | $0.129 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.96 | $0.083 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | buy | 352.24 | $0.057 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win the Super Bowl?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.060 | $21 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 134.8 | $0.148 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Remote IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 xAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 268.75 | $0.074 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 42.22 | $0.474 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.100 | $21 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.16 | $0.307 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 143.88 | $0.139 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 388.35 | $0.103 | $40 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 317.46 | $0.126 | $40 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.340 | $40 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 480.38 | $0.141 | $67.8 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.038 | $75 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.050 | $21 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.120 | $40 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.130 | $40 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?Yes | buy | 457.14 | $0.140 | $64 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.280 | $60 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 202.25 | $0.099 | $20 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.037 | $40 | Jul 18, 2025 |