Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 17 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 170 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 31% on 20 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $463.12K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 170 points, 17 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2025 | 27.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MistaJenkins | Yes | 42.06K |
| Violet Harbor 259F | Yes | 39.66K |
| Liquid-Body | Yes | 4.78K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-in-2025
| Yes |
| 4.33K |
| impeachtrump123 | Yes | 3.81K |
| shivermetethers | Yes | 1.36K |
| lissartter | Yes | 1.05K |
| Silver Voyager 09E3 | Yes | 666.67 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 533 |
| NX143 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
