Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 107 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 15 May 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.6 points up, to 9.6% on 13 Jan 2026. $3.13M traded over the market's life.
501 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 6:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 15 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 15.0% |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 99problems123 | Yes | 185.58K |
| account154 | Yes | 58.56K |
| jolly-potato | Yes | 51.67K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by
| Yes |
| 47.71K |
| Cobra. | Yes | 40.67K |
| paperhandedfool | Yes | 25.38K |
| jjj333333 | Yes | 17.04K |
| 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | Yes | 14.99K |
| Stonktrader | Yes | 10.56K |
| AishahSofey | Yes | 10.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
