Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 212.44 | $0.314 | $160.39 | +$93.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.001 | $1.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.570 |
| $151 |
| +$37 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 252.2 | $0.052 | $69.1 | +$55.85 |
 SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | Yes | 100 | $0.390 | $21 | -$18 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 14.6 | $0.591 | $3.23 | -$5.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 0.41 | $0.142 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 0.28 | $0.146 | $0.04 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 0.35 |
| $0.354 |
| $0.12 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 62.14 | $0.354 | $22 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.004 | $4.16 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 352.76 | $0.642 | $226.47 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.359 | $0.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.002 | $2.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.004 | $4.16 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.008 | $8.32 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.144 | $149.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.020 | $6 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | sell | 705.37 | $0.021 | $14.83 | May 27, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 661.05 | $0.330 | $218.15 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 291.48 | $0.941 | $274.16 | May 27, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 350 | $0.930 | $325.5 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.67K | $0.240 | $879.78 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.850 | $1.12K | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.310 | $516.38 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.656 | $907.84 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.310 | $620 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.11K | $0.560 | $4.54K | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.72K | $0.210 | $1.2K | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 4.77 | $0.690 | $3.29 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 33.93 | $0.850 | $28.84 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 166.21 | $0.693 | $115.18 | May 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 593.23 | $0.870 | $516.11 | May 24, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 599.98 | $0.453 | $271.79 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 202 | $0.611 | $123.35 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.71 | $0.622 | $24.69 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.631 | $759.62 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 285.32 | $0.330 | $94.16 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 330.61 | $0.293 | $96.97 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 1.8K | $0.899 | $1.62K | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.692 | $138.42 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.58K | $0.310 | $799.47 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 333.59 | $0.250 | $83.4 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.240 | $278.46 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?No | buy | 67.76 | $0.956 | $64.75 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 529.82 | $0.997 | $528.23 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | sell | 119.02 | $0.810 | $96.41 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 300 | $0.810 | $243 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 3K | $0.800 | $2.4K | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 2K | $0.800 | $1.6K | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 808 | $0.390 | $315.12 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 83 | $0.790 | $65.57 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 300 | $0.790 | $237 | May 19, 2026 |