
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 2 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 263 daily closes on record from 2 May 2025 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 11% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 11 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.6 points down, to 4.9% on 5 Jan 2026. $7.6M traded over the market's life.
705 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 2 May 2025 – 18 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 4.5% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.69M |
| Drizzl3r | Yes | 290.31K |
| wooter | Yes | 205K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the NFL Super Bowl for the 2025/26 season.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/super-bowl-champion-2026-731
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Monkas | Yes | 200.12K |
| Straight-Agent | Yes | 172.81K |
| gloriafoster | Yes | 169.6K |
| rivermarkets | Yes | 152K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 143.66K |
| Cobalt Voyager 6AAF | Yes | 74.99K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 71.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.