Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 46.15 | $0.130 | $39 | +$33 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 46.15 | $0.130 | $6 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 19.42 |
| $0.640 |
| $18.45 |
| +$6.02 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.580 | $2.76 | -$7.24 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.180 | $1.05 | -$4.95 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.240 | $0.46 | -$1.54 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.090 | $0.1 | -$2.9 |
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $5 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.013 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 54.42 | $0.147 | $8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 19.42 | $0.640 | $12.43 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 25.51 | $0.392 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.180 | $6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.96 | $0.038 | $1.37 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.150 | $3.26 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.94 | $0.120 | $3.47 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 26.41 | $0.220 | $5.81 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.160 | $7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.206 | $2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.235 | $8.44 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.19 | $0.373 | $12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.53 | $0.986 | $12.35 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 38.88 | $0.004 | $0.16 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | sell | 38.07 | $0.060 | $2.28 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 154.36 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.26 | $0.050 | $1.21 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.070 | $1.25 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 151.51 | $0.012 | $1.82 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.87 | $0.100 | $2.19 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.018 | $2.25 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.48 | $0.438 | $10.71 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.250 | $6 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.73 | $0.510 | $7 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.46 | $0.087 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | buy | 347.06 | $0.009 | $3 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.180 | $7 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 63.06 | $0.111 | $7 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.88 | $0.320 | $7 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Aug 8, 2025 |