Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 9.95 | $0.654 | $7.31 | +$0.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | 20d ago |
|
| No |
| 11.55 |
| $0.648 |
| $2.37 |
| -$5.11 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 2.03 | $0.580 | $1.94 | +$0.76 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 1.48 | $0.770 | $1.3 | +$0.16 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2.95 | $0.380 | $0.19 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 1.53 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.07 |
| 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.700 | $1.09 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.750 | $1.05 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.740 | $1.06 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.640 | $1.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.440 | $1.04 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.710 | $1.03 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.670 | $1.06 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.690 | $1.03 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.690 | $1.07 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.610 | $1.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.590 | $1.29 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.680 | $1.22 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.900 | $1.27 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.770 | $1.14 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.580 | $1.18 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.730 | $1.14 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.91 | $0.230 | $1.13 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.900 | $1.18 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.700 | $1.15 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.850 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.380 | $1.12 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.700 | $1.33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to María Corina Machado in January?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.978 | $1.12 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.690 | $1.06 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.540 | $1.02 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 4.1 | $0.993 | $4.07 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.8 | $0.400 | $12.72 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | sell | 3.76 | $0.991 | $3.73 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.720 | $2.71 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.83 | $0.225 | $2.89 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.23 | $0.266 | $2.19 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.270 | $2.9 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.810 | $1.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.780 | $1.13 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.820 | $1.06 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.650 | $1.28 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.905 | $1.03 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.670 | $1.32 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.985 | $1.42 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.600 | $1.18 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.590 | $1.39 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.870 | $1.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.160 | $1.29 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.860 | $1.09 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.840 | $1.15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.930 | $1.02 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.942 | $1.13 | Dec 24, 2025 |