Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
uraw has made $7.16K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:38 PM UTC.
$258.62 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Aug 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 4.17K | $0.816 | $3.44K | +$36.79 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| crypto | $0 | $0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% | $129.13 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 957.21 | $0.964 | $923.03 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 20:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 23:38 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 20:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $15.4K and losing ones cost $2.26K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.32K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $883.5 on “Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It first traded on 25 Jun 2026 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 171 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.22K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 2.07K |
| $0.726 |
| $1.68K |
| +$184.14 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1.7K | $0.880 | $1.67K | +$172.59 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.06K | $0.728 | $1.64K | +$138.88 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 859.97 | $0.559 | $813.53 | +$333.12 |
 New pandemic before 2028? | No | 635.96 | $0.786 | $566.01 | +$66.01 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | No | 688 | $0.727 | $546.96 | +$46.96 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 552.98 | $0.904 | $539.98 | +$39.98 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 898.78 | $0.556 | $494.33 | -$5.67 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.380 | $467.11 | -$32.89 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.268 | $457.16 | -$42.84 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 560 | $0.732 | $288.4 | -$121.4 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 8.82K | $0.136 | $246.84 | -$953.14 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 254.71 | $0.805 | $242.35 | +$37.35 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 416.88 | $0.480 | $223.03 | +$23.03 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.25K | $0.320 | $218.75 | -$181.25 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.099 | $138.13 | -$70.87 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.43K | $0.119 | $133.57 | -$156.43 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2.32K | $0.453 | $127.49 | -$922.51 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.68K | $0.256 | $115.79 | -$823.64 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.28K | $0.088 | $48.92 | -$151.08 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.048 | $21.87 | +$1.88 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 130.82 | $0.268 | $21.45 | -$13.55 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.048 | $20.83 | +$0.83 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 313.51 | $0.175 | $20.38 | -$34.62 |
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.600 |
| $100 |
| 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.560 | $200 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 125.38 | $0.798 | $100 | 2d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 898.78 | $0.556 | $500 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.380 | $500 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.268 | $500 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 273.97 | $0.730 | $200 | 3d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?No | buy | 688 | $0.727 | $500 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 649.35 | $0.770 | $500 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 632.91 | $0.790 | $500 | 10d ago |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.459 | $680.44 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.267 | $395.06 | 15d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 641.03 | $0.780 | $500 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No | buy | 416.88 | $0.480 | $200 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.320 | $400 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | buy | 817.15 | $0.122 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No | buy | 222.94 | $0.897 | $200 | 17d ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | buy | 635.96 | $0.786 | $500 | 17d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 611.31 | $0.818 | $500 | 28d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.900 | $500 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.510 | $1K | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?No | buy | 617.28 | $0.810 | $500 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.700 | $1K | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.31K | $0.130 | $300 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 515.95 | $0.870 | $448.88 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.200 | $340 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No | sell | 258.62 | $0.840 | $217.24 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No | sell | 14.58 | $0.830 | $12.1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.11 | $0.100 | $2.11 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No | sell | 131 | $0.830 | $108.73 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.93 | $0.100 | $4.59 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.89 | $0.100 | $12.99 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.830 | $1.66 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.