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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.9K | $0.748 | $1.87K | +$445.75 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.89 | $0.100 | $12.99 | 17d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 8.82K |
| $0.136 |
| $837.5 |
| -$362.48 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 859.97 | $0.559 | $791.17 | +$310.76 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 700 | $0.814 | $699.65 | +$129.65 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 2K | $0.457 | $590 | -$325 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 552.98 | $0.904 | $536.11 | +$36.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 560 | $0.732 | $285.6 | -$124.2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 515.96 | $0.608 | $276.04 | -$37.72 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.186 | $263.5 | -$52.95 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 254.71 | $0.805 | $244.9 | +$39.9 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.68K | $0.256 | $238.93 | -$700.49 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.099 | $164.49 | -$44.51 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.43K | $0.119 | $157.86 | -$132.14 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.28K | $0.088 | $125.15 | -$74.85 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 313.51 | $0.175 | $39.19 | -$15.81 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 123.95 | $0.323 | $31.61 | -$8.39 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.048 | $27.71 | +$7.71 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.048 | $23.54 | +$3.54 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 130.82 | $0.268 | $18.9 | -$16.1 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.53K | $0.117 | $11.4 | -$283.94 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 30.78 | $0.630 | $10.16 | -$9.23 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 223.65 | $0.159 | $10.06 | -$25.57 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.77K | $0.492 | $7.96 | -$862.02 |
| buy |
| 3.57K |
| $0.140 |
| $500 |
| 19d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 736.43 | $0.136 | $100 | 19d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.130 | $200 | 19d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 826.63 | $0.121 | $100 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | buy | 540.54 | $0.370 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.140 | $300 | 20d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.088 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?No | buy | 294 | $0.680 | $199.92 | 26d ago |
 Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.830 | $5.03 | 27d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | 27d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.189 | $226.45 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 365.85 | $0.470 | $171.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 560 | $0.760 | $425.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.450 | $450 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 127 | $0.080 | $10.16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | buy | 150 | $0.710 | $106.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.820 | $246 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.780 | $780 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | sell | 300 | $0.965 | $289.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No | sell | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 806.45 | $0.620 | $500 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 350 | $0.910 | $318.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 499.98 | $0.780 | $389.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 9.12K | $0.850 | $7.75K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.642 | $699.46 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.660 | $46.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 500.04 | $0.421 | $210.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.370 | $81.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.397 | $198.74 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.298 | $149.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.420 | $210 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.29 | $0.370 | $10.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.600 | $21 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 110.37 | $0.170 | $18.76 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | buy | 434.85 | $0.380 | $165.24 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 156.55 | $0.150 | $23.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.180 | $186.04 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.468 | $117.09 | Jul 20, 2026 |