Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 38 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 23 May 2026.
The high was 57.5% on 25 May 2026 and the low 6% on 2 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 15.5%; a month ago, 16%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 30.5% on 27 May 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?”.
$4.11K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.05K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 112 trades, $490.98 bought Yes and $1.82K bought No.
The largest Yes position is tradingdecs with 1K shares; the largest No position is Aromatic-Carter with 700. Ten wallets hold 87.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 88 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 5, 9:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 135 points · 23 May 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradingdecs | Yes | 1.03K |
| Aromatic-Carter | No | 700 |
| Gripping-Provision | Yes | 280.85 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026
| cowcat | No | 273.2 |
| Gaditima | No | 126.69 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 68.99 |
| macrosteaks | No | 68 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 49.11 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 47.62 |
| predictooooooooor | No | 40.76 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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