Analytics
Yes is at 40.5%, down 9 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 23 May 2026.
Across the 154 daily closes on record from 23 May 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 52%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 7% on 5 Oct 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?”.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $589.75 since listing. The order book holds $149.42, with a 41.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 22 trades, $19.09 bought Yes and $285.5 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Yelowyolo with 150 shares; the largest No position is macrosteaks with 222.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 1:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 154 points, 23 May 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | No | 222 |
| Yelowyolo | Yes | 150 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 80.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026
| resfeber |
| No |
| 56.25 |
| AJSV | Yes | 50 |
| algo168 | No | 20 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | 12 |
| peachgoma | Yes | 5 |
| 49ddgfd | Yes | 0.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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