Analytics
Yes is at 14%, down 60 points from 73.5% when the market opened on 23 May 2026.
The high was 73.5% on 23 May 2026 and the low 14% on 8 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 14.5%; a month ago, 52.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 53% on 5 Sep 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?”.
$312.78 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $99.2, with a 14.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Violet-Airmail with 84 shares; the largest No position is Oliver1978 with 149.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 2:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 140 points · 23 May 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 73.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver1978 | No | 148.7 |
| Violet-Airmail | Yes | 83.55 |
| resfeber | No | 43.57 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026
| Wicked-Porthole |
| Yes |
| 30.43 |
| ItaiB | Yes | 30 |
| AJSV | Yes | 28.1 |
| tradingdecs | Yes | 20 |
| Solar Ledger 05AA | Yes | 7 |
| BOOST250 | No | 7 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 0.21 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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